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# Table 4 Posterior probabilities of models supported by the pairwise GESTE analyses of fragmentation variables against population-specificF ST

Data set Variables tested Highest probability model (HPM) Posterior probability of HPM Posterior probability of individual factors
Combined ND, PS, ND*PS Constant 0.211 P(ND) = 0.386
P(PS) = 0.381
P(ND*PS) = 0.205
PS, GD, PS*GD Constant 0.213 P(PS) = 0.399
P(GD) = 0.393
P(PS*GD) = 0.194
ND, GD, ND*GD Constant, ND*GD, GD, ND 0.272 P(ND) = 0.360
P(GD) = 0.356
P(ND*GD) = 0.272
Adults ND, PS, ND*PS Constant 0.209 P(ND) = 0.395
P(PS) = 0.384
P(ND*PS) = 0.205
PS, GD, PS*GD Constant 0.205 P(PS) = 0.405
P(GD) = 0.402
P(PS*GD) = 0.189
ND, GD, ND*GD Constant, ND*GD, GD, ND 0.276 P(ND) = 0.348
P(GD) = 0.360
P(ND*GD) = 0.276
Seedlings ND, PS, ND*PS Constant, ND*PS, ND, PS 0.217 P(ND) = 0.392
P(PS) = 0.388
P(ND*PS) = 0.217
PS, GD, PS*GD Constant, PS 0.204 P(PS) = 0.399
P(GD) = 0.396
P(PS*GD) = 0.195
ND, GD, ND*GD Constant, ND*GD, GD, ND 0.268 P(ND) = 0.357
P(GD) = 0.359
P(ND*GD) = 0.268
1. Note: ND = Edge to edge distance from the nearest neighbor patch; PS = Patch size or area; GD = Mean of the pairwise center to center patch distance.