Table 2 Full Log10 posterior estimates (and high posterior densities, HPD) of natural parameters obtained with MsVar for three different putative generation times and for four historical events that may have affected G. bravoana demography (see text)
| Â | 100 years | 500 years | 2500 years | 10000 years | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Â | 95% HPD | Â | 95% HPD | Â | 95% HPD | Â | 95% HPD | |||||
Mean | Lower | Upper | Mean | Lower | Upper | Mean | Lower | Upper | Mean | Lower | Upper | |
G = 5 years | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Ancient effective population size (N 1 ) | 4.86 | 3.97 | 5.74 | 4.86 | 3.97 | 5.74 | 4.87 | 3.98 | 5.75 | 4.86 | 3.98 | 5.75 |
Current effective population size (N 0 ) | 1.17 | 0.08 | 2.17 | 1.16 | 0.05 | 2.16 | 1.17 | 0.07 | 2.16 | 1.16 | 0.06 | 2.17 |
Time since effective population size change (X a ) | 3.10 | 2.04 | 4.07 | 3.09 | 2.05 | 4.08 | 3.10 | 2.05 | 4.08 | 3.09 | 2.03 | 4.07 |
Mutation rate (μ) | -3.17 | -3.65 | -2.69 | -3.17 | -3.65 | -2.69 | -3.17 | -3.65 | -2.69 | -3.17 | -3.65 | -2.69 |
G = 10years | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Ancient effective population size (N 1 ) | 4.85 | 3.97 | 5.74 | 4.86 | 3.99 | 5.76 | 4.86 | 3.98 | 5.74 | 4.86 | 3.97 | 5.75 |
Current effective population size (N 0 ) | 1.14 | 0.01 | 2.16 | 1.14 | 0.02 | 2.16 | 1.13 | 0.02 | 2.14 | 1.14 | 9E 04 | 2.16 |
Time since effective population size change (X a ) | 3.37 | 2.29 | 4.37 | 3.37 | 2.29 | 4.37 | 3.36 | 2.29 | 4.36 | 3.37 | 2.28 | 4.38 |
Mutation rate (μ) | -3.17 | -3.65 | -2.69 | -3.17 | -3.65 | -2.69 | -3.17 | -3.65 | -2.68 | -3.17 | -3.65 | -2.69 |
G = 60years | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Ancient effective population size (N 1 ) | 4.84 | 3.96 | 5.72 | 4.84 | 3.98 | 5.73 | 4.84 | 3.96 | 5.72 | 4.84 | 3.96 | 5.73 |
Current effective population size (N 0 ) | 1.09 | -0.04 | 2.13 | 1.08 | -0.06 | 2.13 | 1.09 | -0.08 | 2.13 | 1.09 | -0.06 | 2.13 |
Time since effective population size change (Xa) | 4.10 | 3.00 | 5.11 | 4.09 | 2.99 | 5.10 | 4.10 | 2.99 | 5.12 | 4.09 | 2.99 | 5.11 |
Mutation rate (μ) | -3.16 | -3.64 | -2.68 | -3.16 | -3.64 | -2.68 | -3.16 | -3.64 | -2.68 | -3.16 | -3.63 | -2.67 |